Service Plays Monday 07/27/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Royals Sunday.

Today's it's the Rockies. The surplus is 900 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

July 27, 2009

Hondo, who'd been laboring like Octomom, regained a small bundle last night when the White Sox sired a victory in Detroit to partially offset yesterday's twin beatings with the Brewers and Cards. That left him with IOUs totaling 415 puhls.

Tonight, at the urging of Mark Teixeira-lookalike Howie "Summer Hoops" Kussoy, Mr. Aitch will join forces with Mr. Wandyful -- 10 units on the 'Stros.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

INSIDE THE LINES

MONDAY, JULY 27

NATIONAL LEAGUE


L.A. Dodgers (62-36) at St. Louis (53-48)



The Dodgers take baseball’s best record on the road for the first time in the second half as they send lefty Randy Wolf (5-4, 3.45 ERA) to the mound to face Cardinals ace Chris Carpenter (8-3, 2.26) in the first of four at Busch Stadium.



Los Angeles has won six of its last eight but fell to the Marlins on Sunday, 8-6. The Dodgers are on positive runs of 5-0 against the N.L. Central, 5-1 on Mondays, 7-2 in series openers, 5-2 on the road and 35-17 against right-handed starters.



The Cardinals lost two of three in Philly over the weekend, falling 14-6 on Saturday and 9-2 on Sunday. They are just 3-8 in their last 11 against southpaws. However they are 6-1 in their last seven series openers and 4-1 against N.L. West squads. Also, St. Louis has owned Los Angeles in recent years, going 41-20 in the last 61 meetings overall and 24-8 in the last 32 at Busch Stadium.



Wolf has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight starts, including Tuesday when he held the Reds to two runs in 7 1/3 innings of a 12-3 win in Los Angeles. The veteran lefty is a solid 4-2 with a 2.90 ERA on the road and gave up just two runs in 6 1/3 innings last time out on the highway, an 11-2 win over the Mets. With Wolf on the hill, the Dodgers are on runs of 10-4 overall, 7-2 in series openers, 8-2 against the N.L. Central and 4-0 on the road against winning teams.



Carpenter has been outstanding in his last four starts, going 3-0 with a 1.86 ERA as he’s allowed a total of six runs in 29 innings, including eight innings of shutout baseball against the Diamondbacks in his most recent home start. Including that victory, Carpenter is 4-1 with a 1.85 ERA in five outings at Busch Stadium. With Carpenter pitching, St. Louis is on positive streaks of 82-35 overall, 43-14 at home, 31-9 in series openers, 20-6 against the N.L. West and 4-0 lifetime against L.A.



Wolf is 3-4 with a 3.70 ERA in nine career starts versus the Redbirds, while Carpenter is 3-0 with a 2.42 ERA against the Dodgers, including a no-decision last year when he scattered three hits in five scoreless innings, with St. Louis winning 6-4 in 11 innings.



The Dodgers are on “over” runs of 9-2 on the road, 11-5 against right-handed starters and 5-3 with Wolf working on the highway. With Carpenter on the hill, St. Louis is on “under” tears of 38-18-1 at home and 8-3-1 in series openers, while as a team, the Cardinals are on “under” streaks of 8-3 overall, 8-2 against southpaws, 4-0 in series openers, 5-0 at home and 5-0 against the N.L. West. Finally, the under has been the play in six of the last nine meetings in this rivalry.



ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE





AMERICAN LEAGUE



N.Y. Yankees (60-38) at Tampa Bay (54-45)



The streaking Yankees head to Florida to open a three-game set against the Rays with right-hander A.J. Burnett (9-4, 3.74 ERA) on the mound opposite Tampa Bay righty James Shields (6-6, 3.70) at Tropicana Field.



New York capped a 9-1 homestand with Sunday’s 7-5 victory over the A’s. The Yankees have catapulted themselves into first place in the A.L. East by winning 45 of their last 66 overall. They are also on runs of 8-3 on the road, 14-2 against right-handed starters, 7-1 in series openers, 6-1 against A.L. East foes and 15-5 against teams with winning records.



Tampa took two of three in Toronto over the weekend, but lost Sunday 5-1. Despite that setback, the Rays carry several positive streaks into this series, including 88-35 at home, 5-1 against the A.L. East, 4-1 in series openers, 65-20 at home against right-handers and 19-7 at home against opponents with a winning road record.



These rivals have split eight meetings so far this year, with the road team winning five of the last seven.



Burnett is 2-0 with a 3.26 ERA in his last three starts. He hasn’t allowed more than three earned runs in any of his last 10 outings, and he’s turned in at least six innings in 14 of his last 15 trips to the hill. The Yankees have won five straight and eight of 10 behind Burnett, and the veteran right-hander is 5-3 with a 3.81 ERA in his nine road starts.



Burnett is 8-4 with a 3.01 ERA in 18 career starts against Tampa Bay, including 1-0 with a 3.21 ERA in two contests this year. However, the Rays are 6-2 the last eight times they’ve seen Burnett going back to his days with Toronto.



Shields pitched well in Chicago on Wednesday, giving up two runs in 6 2/3 innings, but his bullpen couldn’t protect a 3-1 lead and Tampa Bay fell 4-3 to the White Sox. Still the Rays are on streaks behind Shields of 27-9 at home, 4-1 in series openers, 4-1 on Monday and 8-2 when pitching after a Rays loss.



The Rays are just 1-7 in Shields’ last eight starts against the Yankees, but the win came in September last season when the right-hander blanked them on five hits over eight innings in a 7-1 road victory. Prior to that triumph, Shields had been 1-5 with a 6.86 ERA in his first seven career starts versus New York.



With Burnett on the hill, the Yankees are on “under” runs of 6-0 overall, 6-1 in series openers, 5-0 against the A.L. East and 4-0 against teams with a winning record. As a team, New York has topped the total in four straight on the road, but stayed under the number in eight of 12 against the A.L. East and four straight against right-handed starters.



With Shields pitching, the Rays have stayed low in eight of 11 overall, six of his last eight at home and eight of his last 10 against the A.L. East. As a team, Tampa is on “under” runs of 8-1 overall, 6-1 in series openers, 9-2 against the A.L. East and 24-6-1 against right-handed starters.



Finally, in this rivalry, the over has been the play in five of the last six clashes at Tropicana Field.



ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER

 

[fly73]

DUNKEL

NY Yankees at Tampa Bay

The Rays look to bounce back from yesterday's defeat in Toronto and build on their 8-2 record in James Shields' last 10 starts after a loss in the previous game. Tampa Bay is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Rays favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+105). Here are all of today's picks.
MONDAY, JULY 27

Game 951-952: San Diego at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Geer) 13.324; Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.381
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-160); 10
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-160); Under

Game 953-954: Colorado at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Jimenez) 16.019; NY Mets (Perez) 15.552
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Colorado (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-155); Over

Game 955-956: Washington at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Stammen) 13.029; Milwaukee (Suppan) 14.910
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-160); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-160); Over

Game 957-958: Houston at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Rodriguez) 15.209; Cubs (Zambrano) 15.367
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-145); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 959-960: LA Dodgers at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Wolf) 15.373; St. Louis (Carpenter) 15.020
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-170); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+160); Under

Game 961-962: Philadelphia at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Moyer) 16.768; Arizona (Garland) 15.869
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-120); 10
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-120); Over

Game 963-964: Pittsburgh at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Maholm) 13.873; San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.758
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 2; 9
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-235); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-235); Over

Game 965-966: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Burnett) 15.111; Tampa Bay (Shields) 15.562
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+105); Under

Game 967-968: Kansas City at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Chen) 13.956; Baltimore (Hill) 15.322
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-145); 10
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-145); Under

Game 969-970: Oakland at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Cahill) 15.971; Boston (Beckett) 14.766
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-310); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+275); Under

Game 971-972: Detroit at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Galarraga) 15.794; Texas (Hunter) 14.722
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-140); 10
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+130); Under

Game 973-974: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 15.502; Minnesota (Perkins) 16.867
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-110); Over

Game 975-976: Cleveland at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Pavano) 16.353; LA Angels (Saunders) 17.510
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-160); 10
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-160); Over

Game 977-978: Toronto at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Romero) 14.218; Seattle (Hernandez) 14.997
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Seattle (-170); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-170); Over

 

[fly73]

Covers' Hot lines

Monday's best MLB bets


Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals -172 odds provided by betjamaica

This one could come down to a battle of the bullpens and, if this is the case, it’s advantage: Dodgers.

The battle of starters between Randy Wolf of the Dodgers and the resurgent Chris Carpenter of the Cardinals is closer than it appears on paper, but Carpenter gives the edge to the Cardinals.

Even so, the Busch Stadium hopeful had better pray that they get Carpenter’s best stuff. Otherwise, it could be another long night.

The Cardinals return home having lost five of seven in their recent road swing, and new addition Matt Holliday hasn’t been enough to overcome season-long woes from their relief pitchers.

In losing two of three to the Philadelphia Phillies over the weekend, the St. Louis bullpen gave up 21 earned runs for an ERA of 7.66. For the season, they have a bullpen ERA of 4.18, which is 21st in the majors.

The Dodgers, who won six of eight on their recent home stand, have had one of the league’s most effective bullpens. Their 3.24 bullpen ERA ranks second in the majors.

The price here provides enough value to back the team with the best record in the majors.

Pick: Dodgers.

Colorado Rockies at New York Mets (+142) odds provided by betjamaica

Some things just don’t go together, like orange juice and toothpaste, Regis and Kathy Lee ... and logic and the New York Mets.

The Mets seemed to be inventing new ways to lose games; their 5-4 loss Friday was aided by a home run to the opposing pitcher, Houston’s Mike Hampton, given up by their ace Johan Santana.

Upon sinking to their worst record in five years, many bettors decided there was no time like now to jump off the Mets’ bandwagon.

Naturally, the Mets responded by beating Houston two straight days by a combined score of 18-6.

The Mets’ erratic tendencies could provide value here. They are 4-10 in their last 14 games as an underdog, whereas the Rockies are 16-5 in their past 21 road games. Going against conventional wisdom seems to be the only move with the Mets.

Pick: Mets.

 

[Yanks]

The Sports Investing Professional - Monday

Sunday Recap -Went as planned....Texas eventually wore down
the Royals and I give a big thumbs up to Nippert who came in for
Millwood in the 3rd and did a fantastic job.

Todays Play(s) - Today we're going back to a Kansas City game
but once again it's a FADE of the Royals....Baltimore is one of the
best hitting home teams in the league and K.C. is trotting out Mr. Chen
who is very adept at getting hit very hard. Looks like a great match.
Don't get me wrong...Baltimore has a gas can on the hill as well, no pun
intended, but the O's should be able to out slug the Royals here.


MLB -Baltimore Orioles -150[LISTED] Chen / Hill....750.00/ 500.00


May The Ball Bounce Your Way,

The Sports Investing Professional

Record (21-9) + $4,124

 

[Yanks]

Joe Wiz Bonus Plays

Cleve/ LAA Under
Tor/ Sea Under
Phillies

 

[Yanks]

Arthur Ralph Sports

299 - 196 run 60 % 47-25 run here

SL Cards MON.

 

[Yanks]

Cappers Access

Red Sox(RL)

Twins

 

[Yanks]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

MLB Baseball

100* Play Cincinnati (-165) over San Diego (TOP MLB PLAY)

San Diego has lost 18 of the last 22 games in the month of July and they have also lost 22 of the last 30 games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs. San Diego has lost 30 of the last 43 games as a road underdog of +100 or higher and they have also lost 40 of the last 55 games after having lost 4 or 5 of the last 6 games. Josh Geer has lost 9 consecutive games as a road underdog of +100 or higher and he is also 0-3 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 7.98.



100* Play Milwaukee (-155) over Washington (TOP MLB PLAY)

Washington has lost 23 of the last 27 games as a road underdog of +125 to +175 and they have also lost 15 of the last 21 games vs. NL Central Division Opponents. Washington has lost 26 of the last 33 road games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs and they have also lost 7 consecutive games vs. Milwaukee on the road. Jeff Suppan has won 20 of the last 31 games as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has an ERA of 3.32 vs. Washington over his career.



100* Play Seattle (-160) over Toronto (TOP MLB PLAY)

Seattle has won 4 consecutive games after scoring four runs or less in five straight games and they have also won 5 of the last 6 games vs. Toronto at home. Felix Hernandez has won 15 of the last 19 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he is also 3-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 1.57. Toronto has lost 12 of the last 16 games after allowing one run or less in the last game and they have also lost 7 of the last 9 games as a road underdog of +150 or underdog.



50* Play Colorado (-155) over NY Mets (MLB BONUS PLAY)

New York has lost 8 of the last 9 games as a home underdog of +125 or higher and they have also lost 11 of the last 17 games when batting .240 or worse over the last 20 games. Oliver Perez has lost 5 of the last 6 games when the total posted is between 9 and 9.5 runs and he has an ERA of 7.68 in all starts this season.

 

[Yanks]

Free Silver Key Pick for Monday ML Baseball


Philadelphia Moyer -L -110 Over ARIZONA (9:40 et)

 

[arti83]

Gold Key Pick Monday:

CUBS ZAMBRANO -R -150 Over Houston (MLB, 8:05 et)

 

[Yanks]

SCOTT FERRALL

MLB FREE PICKS FOR MONDAY
PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )


Pittsburgh (Maholm)

SAN FRANCISCO (LINCECUM) -240 (1)



Oakland (Cahill)

BOSTON (BECKETT) -310 (2)



White Sox (Danks)

MINNESOTA (PERKINS) -105 (3)

 

[Yanks]

John Morrison system plays

Texas and Cincy are both "A" bets.

 

[yanks84]

Lou Panelli

20* MLB Twins -110(100 Dime VEGAS KEY INFO)
10* MLB Angels -150
10* MLB KC over 10
10* MLB Dodgers under 7.5
10* MLB Milwaukee over 9.5
10* MLB Colorado -150

 

[Henryjames]

igz1 sports

Monday Card
Sunday Recap: 2-1 MLB
Follow me on Twitter !!

MLB Lucky 7
4* NY Yankees -110 (Burnett)
4* Under 9.5 (-110) Detroit (Galarraga) vs Texas (Hunter)
3* Under 9 (-110) Oakland (Cahill) vs Boston (Beckett)
3* Under 9.5 (-105) Washington (Stammen) vs Milwaukee (Suppan)
3* Under 8.5 (-105) Houston (Rodriguez) vs Chicago Cubs (Zambrano)
3* Chicago Whitesox -110 (Danks)
3* Over 10 (-110) Cleveland (Pavano) vs LA Angels (Saunders)

 

[Yanks]

RatedPicks

MLB:

MLB 07/27 San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds pick: Cincinnati Reds pts: -1.5 (+130) 3 units
MLB 07/27 San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds pick: Cincinnati Reds pts: -160 3 units
MLB 07/27 Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers pick: Milwaukee Brewers pts: -1.5 (+130) 3 units
MLB 07/27 Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers pick: *BP*Milwaukee Brewers pts: -160 5 units
MLB 07/27 Oakland Athletics at Boston Red Sox pick: *BP* Boston Red Sox pts: -1.5 (+125) 5 units MLB 07/27 Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers pick: Texas Rangers pts: -1.5 (+155) 3 units MLB 07/27 Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers pick: Texas Rangers pts: -135 3 units
MLB 07/27 Cleveland Indians at LA Angels pick: LA Angels pts: -160 3 units
MLB 07/27 Oakland Athletics at Boston Red Sox pick: Boston Red Sox pts: -330 5 units



Bonus Plays

A's/Red Sox OVER 8.5
Chic Cubs ML

 

[Sportsman076]

PLEASE REMOVE ALL THE Bonus Play JUNK.IF THEY WAS GOOD PLAYS THEY WOULD SELL THEM.


Tom Stryker's American League Diamond Dandy Blowout - 23-10 Run!
Tom has quietly cashed 23 of his last 33 MLB selections and he's got another payday lined up for this evening. Solid pitching support, tremendous motivation and four sensational team trends all back this incredible investment opportunity. Grab Tom's American League Diamond Dandy Blowout for $20.
ANGELS

 

[Yanks]

SmartMoney

Smart Money MLB Wiseguys just hit #969 Oakland OVER